Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.031661 0.034584 0.037524 0.040698 0.044022 0.047395 0.051069
2026-01-04 0.026876 0.031188 0.035671 0.040654 0.046018 0.051596 0.057815
2026-01-11 0.023592 0.028931 0.034645 0.041161 0.048333 0.055940 0.064572
2026-01-18 0.020946 0.027057 0.033774 0.041606 0.050394 0.059871 0.070780
2026-01-25 0.017572 0.024042 0.031363 0.040100 0.050098 0.061054 0.073845
2026-02-01 0.015318 0.022113 0.030008 0.039625 0.050816 0.063246 0.077922
2026-02-08 0.013555 0.020612 0.029017 0.039452 0.051776 0.065627 0.082142
2026-02-15 0.012704 0.020152 0.029203 0.040603 0.054222 0.069664 0.088209
2026-02-22 0.011825 0.019576 0.029184 0.041459 0.056281 0.073226 0.093713
2026-03-01 0.010866 0.018815 0.028873 0.041908 0.057818 0.076153 0.098464
2026-03-08 0.009885 0.017948 0.028368 0.042069 0.058968 0.078599 0.102636
2026-03-15 0.009334 0.017625 0.028528 0.043027 0.061061 0.082138 0.108069
2026-03-22 0.008115 0.016292 0.027334 0.042271 0.061075 0.083248 0.110715
2026-03-29 0.007353 0.015562 0.026898 0.042448 0.062216 0.085690 0.114924
2026-04-05 0.006816 0.015126 0.026828 0.043076 0.063901 0.088774 0.119890
2026-04-12 0.006287 0.014658 0.026685 0.043586 0.065424 0.091657 0.124614
2026-04-19 0.005185 0.013172 0.025047 0.042064 0.064343 0.091347 0.125506
2026-04-26 0.004498 0.012298 0.024224 0.041588 0.064554 0.092587 0.128231
2026-05-03 0.003959 0.011620 0.023649 0.041416 0.065131 0.094258 0.131462
2026-05-10 0.003803 0.011618 0.024069 0.042603 0.067462 0.098096 0.137317
2026-05-17 0.003585 0.011480 0.024273 0.043484 0.069393 0.101437 0.142573
2026-05-24 0.003289 0.011162 0.024185 0.043946 0.070771 0.104087 0.146989
2026-05-31 0.002953 0.010730 0.023897 0.044112 0.071747 0.106231 0.150785